PC shipments not expected to decline to pre-pandemic levels 'for at least 2-3 years'

Source: Daniel Rubino/Windows Central

What you need to know

• Gartner reports that 88.4M PCs shipped last quarter (-5% YoY), with 339.8M for all of 2022 (+nine.9% YoY).
• Demand for Google Chromebooks drove much of the quarterly pass up.
• Almanac PC shipment volumes are non expected to pass up to pre-pandemic levels for at to the lowest degree 2-3 years.
• Post-pandemic, remote work, and "newly established means of using PCs will remain regular do."

Post-obit the report from Canalys, Gartner is now confirming like data regarding shipments of PCs from final quarter as well as the entire year of 2022, which did ameliorate than expected.

Source: Gartner

Gartner claims 88.four one thousand thousand PCs were shipped in Q4 2022, a five% yr-on-yr (YoY) decline, and Canalys pegged the number slightly higher at 91 million. For all of 2022, Gartner'southward study states 339.viii 1000000 PCs were shipped, which is very close to Canalys's 341 million.

Interestingly, Gartner suggests the reason for last quarter's pass up was "small-scale consumer demand" for the holiday season, but also that the chief driver was "the collapse in need for Chromebooks." That theme of Chromebook need severely crashing has been circulating since Q3 2022, when a pass up of 29.8% YoY was observed, a trend that is apparently continuing.

The rest of Gartner'south analysis is quite interesting. While they notation this new data "likely signifies the end of the massive and unexpected growth in PC need triggered past the pandemic," the decline "only slightly tempered the PC market's growth in 2022," which was overall positive with a nearly ten% YoY increase over 2022.

Additionally, likewise some slight weakening in demand from consumers and severe drops in Chromebooks, it was supply-chain constraints that again negatively affected the numbers and OEMs:

The U.S. PC market saw its second sequent quarter of double-digit decline during the fourth quarter of 2022, with shipments declining 24.2% year-over-twelvemonth. This subtract was largely driven by weak Chromebook shipments as demand from educational institutions continued to irksome. While U.Southward. business concern PC sales were generally potent due to the recovering economy and the reopening of offices, supply chain delays impacted shipment volumes, peculiarly in the large enterprise market. The holiday flavor also saw weaker PC sales than in 2022 due to modest consumer need.

Those supply chain constraints are expected to abate it won't exist alleviated entirely until after in the year.

Top three (once more): Lenovo, HP, and Dell

Source: Gartner

Breaking down by PC OEMs, Gartner has a like ranking to Canalys in global PC shippers, with Lenovo in the top spot, followed by HP, Dell, Apple tree, and Acer.

Combining Lenovo, HP, Dell, and Acer, all four companies account for 72.seven% of global PC shipments. That'due south a slight increment from 71.viii% in 2022 with the aforementioned four.

Apple's PC shipments (not including iPads) accounted for 7.7% in 2022 and slightly increased from half dozen.9% in 2022.

Lenovo saw the most meaning pass up with a 12% driblet for the 4th quarter of 2022 due to "slowed U.S. market, weak Chromebook demand, and supply chain issues, which impeded Lenovo'due south power to supply PCs to enterprise customers."

HP, by comparison, navigated the supply chain better with but a four% YoY decline tempered past "robust growth in the Asia Pacific marketplace."

Dell, once more, is the objective winner reporting tape acquirement terminal quarter with $28.four billion. It did the same for FYQ2 2022. Gartner's numbers reflect this, noting information technology gained market share "notching a 5th consecutive quarter of growth." Shipment volume exceeded 17 one thousand thousand units for the first time in the company'southward history.

Gartner too breaks down the numbers to the United states market, which varies from the global motion-picture show. Dell is the tiptop shipper in the Us, accounting for 28.5% of all PCs shipped last quarter, and HP was number two, Lenovo in third, and Apple tree in fourth.

Putting Dell, HP, Lenovo, and Acer together accounted for nearly 75% of all PCs shipped in the The states for Q4 2022, downwards almost five% YoY. Apple tree came in at 13%, upwardly from 9.2% YoY, reflecting the accurate perception that Macbook prevalence is higher in the States than the residue of the world.

'Fundamentally inverse … PC behavior'

HP Omen 45L (2022). Source: Daniel Rubino / Windows Fundamental

Finally, for forecasting, things are still looking meliorate than anticipated. While many saw the pandemic as a temporary blip, the consensus now seems that information technology greatly altered the market, resulting in the PC being more critical than ever.

Mikako Kitagawa, enquiry managing director at Gartner, notes:

"The pandemic significantly inverse business and consumer PC user behavior, as people had to prefer to new ways of working and living. Postal service-pandemic, some of the newly established ways of using PCs will remain regular practice, such equally remote or hybrid workstyles, taking online courses and communicating with friends and family unit online."

Because of this dramatic shift, Gartner expects the PC market to slow "for at least the side by side two years," but "annual shipment volumes are non expected to decline to pre-pandemic levels in that period." Merely equally interestingly, few, if any, believe things will go back to the way they were. Remote piece of work and the creator/gig economy are the new normal.

That slight decline in demand makes sense as the PC market place is very mature: Near people own at least one, though increasingly at least two PCs. But, like smartphones (as well a flat market), innovations around display engineering, including folding screens and new class factors, will attempt to drive further adoption and increase those upgrade cycles. Things like always connected 5G PCs are also becoming increasingly important (especially in the educational activity system), all of which should keep the PC market humming for the foreseeable future, only not at the same charge per unit as 2022-2021.

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Source: https://www.windowscentral.com/gartner-report-pc-q4-2021

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